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Maryland Terrapins Football Preview: Predicting the 2016 season

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After a week spent looking at the team and getting expert opinions on all things Maryland Terrapins football, it is time for the staff of talking10 to put their money where their mouths are.

That means it is once again that time of the week where we not only give you a simple record prediction, but we also take a look at how we see each and every one of the 12 regular season games play out.

Let’s not waste any more time, it’s on to the predictions.

2016 Maryland Terrapins Football Schedule

Date Opponent Time/TV Tickets
Saturday
Sep. 3
Bison Howard Bison
Maryland Stadium, College Park, MD
Noon ET
BTN
Buy
Tickets
Friday
Sep. 9
Golden Panthers at FIU Golden Panthers
FIU Stadium, Miami, FL
7:30pm ET
CBSSN
Buy
Tickets
Saturday
Sep. 17
Knights at UCF Knights
Bright House Networks Stadium, Orlando, FL
7:00pm ET
CBSSN
Buy
Tickets
Saturday
Sep. 24
OFF
Saturday
Oct. 1
Boilermakers Purdue Boilermakers (HC)
Maryland Stadium, College Park, MD
3:30pm ET
TV TBA
Buy
Tickets
Saturday
Oct. 8
Nittany Lions at Penn State Nittany Lions
Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
Noon ET
TV TBA
Buy
Tickets
Saturday
Oct. 15
Gophers Minnesota Golden Gophers
Maryland Stadium, College Park, MD
TBA Buy
Tickets
Saturday
Oct. 22
Spartans Michigan State Spartans
Maryland Stadium, College Park, MD
7:30pm ET
BTN
Buy
Tickets
Saturday
Oct. 29
Hoosiers at Indiana Hoosiers
Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN
TBA Buy
Tickets
Saturday
Nov. 5
Wolverines at Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
TBA Buy
Tickets
Saturday
Nov. 12
Buckeyes Ohio State Buckeyes
Maryland Stadium, College Park, MD
TBA Buy
Tickets
Saturday
Nov. 19
Cornhuskers at Nebraska Cornhuskers
Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, NE
TBA Buy
Tickets
Saturday
Nov. 26
Scarlet Knights Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Maryland Stadium, College Park, MD
TBA Buy
Tickets

*courtesy FBSchedules.com.

vs. Howard Bison
Andy: Win
Dave: Win
Kevin: Win
Zach: Win

Maryland may be in the first season of a new era, but it certainly is in a much better position than a Howard Bison team that is coming off a 1-10 season and lost 76-0 to a really bad Boston College program. Look for Durkin’s first season to get off on the right foot.

at FIU Panthers
Andy: Win
Dave: Win
Kevin: Win
Zach: Win

What is Maryland thinking with a game against FIU on the road? That’s some ACC type stuff…either that or a really smart way to plant a flag for recruiting in the Sunshine State. We’re going with the latter and we are all going with the win, but don’t be surprised to see Ron Turner’s team give the Terps a game here, as he is quietly building something at FIU.

at UCF Knights
Andy: Win
Dave: Loss
Kevin: Win
Zach: Loss

This one is interesting from our staff, apparently a few believe Scott Frost is going to be good enough to turn around the biggest disaster in college football last season. After all, the Knights went 0 for the entire 2015 season last year. Sure, UCF has the parts to be better, but better than what Maryland has in pure talent? I don’t think so, and a second trip to the state of Florida nets another win in my book.

vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Andy: Win
Dave: Win
Kevin: Win
Zach: Win

Poor Purdue, they get no love from anyone on our staff apparently, and why should they given their track record under Darrell Hazell. I expect this to be a very interesting contest, and perhaps the one that tells us the most about where Maryland really is as a Big Ten program. If they can get a decisive win, the Terps may be better than most believe, but a struggle at home against Purdue may indicate a long season ahead. Give me the former, as the Terps show Durkin was a great hire and they blow out the Boilers.

at Penn State Nittany Lions
Andy: Loss
Dave: Loss
Kevin: Loss
Zach: Loss

Maryland once went in to Happy Valley with bad intentions and came away winners. However, Penn State of 2016 is a far cry from that 2014 team and going in to Beaver Stadium and pulling out a win is a big ask for the Terps 0f 2016. The combination of Penn State’s very good defense and its really good running game should be enough to carry the day, but don’t be surprised to see it take until the second half to seal this one for PSU.

vs. Minnesota Gophers
Andy: Loss
Dave: Loss
Kevin: Win
Zach: Loss

While the Purdue game is likely to be a bellwether for the Terps 2016 season, this cross-over game is likely to be the make or break point for bowl game hopes. Unfortunately for Maryland fans, I’m much more a fan of what Mitch Leidner brings at QB than what Maryland can and a bigger fan of Minnesota’s defense than the Terps. Home field advantage won’t mean much in this one as the Gophers get a much-needed win themselves.

vs. Michigan State Spartans
Andy: Loss
Dave: Loss
Kevin: Loss
Zach: Loss

Last season was a big step forward for Maryland, holding MSU to just 24 points after giving up 37 in a loss in 2014. Could the Terps be in for the upset in this one? That would require a much more solid run game and a quarterback capable of getting the job done if the run game is shut down. For me, that’s a major ask against the Spartans defense, and just a bridge too far for 2016. Look for this to be another relatively easy win for the Spartans.

at Indiana Hoosiers
Andy: Loss
Dave: Loss
Kevin: Loss
Zach: Loss

By now I think you’re seeing the pattern of where our respective staff members are on the Terps 2016 season. Since we’re counting, this would be the fourth loss in row for three-quarters of our pickers, but it is the biggest toss up game on the Maryland schedule in my view. Memorial Stadium can provide a strange atmosphere and I actually trust that the Terps quarterback situation is going to be more settled by this point of the season. That said, there is a pretty big gap in offensive firepower overall, and I’ll take Devin Redding and a quality offensive line over Maryland’s so-so run defense at home.

at Michigan Wolverines
Andy: Loss
Dave: Loss
Kevin: Loss
Zach: Loss

I’m not as sold on Michigan as most are heading in to the season, but there’s no way I see the Terps going in to the Big House and taking this win. Whatever is happening in the Wolverines backfield, there’s just too much on the other side of the ball to suggest the Terps are going to be capable of putting up enough points to stick with U-M.

vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
Andy: Loss
Dave: Loss
Kevin: Loss
Zach: Loss

See above…although, Maryland did give Ohio State a pretty good game and were tied at 21-21 early in the third quarter. But, it took a 170-yard day from quarterback Perry Hills to keep the Terps in the contest before falling apart in the final quarter and a half. I just don’t see that performance repeating itself, even if OSU may not be as stout defensively as it was last year. Add in OSU having J.T. Barrett as the full-time starter again and it’s a troublesome matchup for Maryland.

at Nebraska Cornhuskers
Andy: Loss
Dave: Loss
Kevin: Loss
Zach: Loss

Yes, this is the seventh-straight loss for the Terps in Big Ten play and that may seem a bit harsh. But, so is a trip from College Park, Md. to Lincoln, Neb. and that is a big reason why this is going to be a loss for Maryland. So is the arm and legs of Nebraska quarterback Tommy Armstrong. Look for this to be a potential shootout though, as I’m not 100 percent sold either defense is going to be crazy hard to put up points on in 2016.

vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Andy: Win
Dave: Win
Kevin: Win
Zach: Win

Nothing like a home game against Rutgers to help ease the pain of a seven-game losing streak, right? While there are likely to be more important games, the history of these two in the Big Ten suggests this is likely to be the most entertaining game of the final weekend of the season. It will also be a good break from the crazy schedule Maryland has played over the last four weeks. Look for the bumps, bruises and learning experiences to pay off at home against Rutgers and for this one to need no crazy comeback to make a win happen this time either.

Season Records

Andy: 5-7 (2-7 B1G)
Dave: 4-8 (2-7 B1G)
Kevin: 6-6 (3-6 B1G)
Zach: 4-8 (2-7 B1G)

Our Projected Big Ten Standings:

Andy Dave Zach Kevin
Big Ten East
1
2 Michigan State Michigan State
3 Michigan State Michigan State
4
5
6 Maryland Maryland
7 Maryland Maryland
Big Ten West
1 Wisconsin Wisconsin
2 Wisconsin Wisconsin Nebraska
3 Nebraska Nebraska  Nebraska
4 Minnesota Minnesota Minnesota
5  Minnesota
6 Purdue
7 Purdue Purdue

Andy Coppens is the Founder and Publisher of Talking10. He's a member of the Football Writers Association of America (FWAA) and has been covering college sports in some capacity since 2008. You can follow him on Twitter @AndyOnFootball

Terps Football

What does Terps victory over Texas really mean?

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The Maryland Terrapins did it again — knocking off a favored and ranked (if you want to pay attention to those things) Texas Longhorns football team. 

Much like last season, it was a fight to the very end and it was Maryland coming out on top again. The Terps survived for a 34-29 win in Landover, Md. this time around. 

But, spoiling Tom Herman’s debut last season was one thing, winning in 2018 felt totally different. 

After all, it came on the heels of one of the craziest offseasons one could imagine. There was the tragic death of a teammate following an intense workout and then the suspension and investigation in to the head coach. 

It also came as the debut of Matt Canada as a head coach at any point in his long career in college football. 

So, of course, getting this win was an emotional moment for the Terps. But, there is a large question at hand — what does this win really mean? 

Last season’s win in Austin proved to mean little more than a glimpse of what could’ve been. 

Injuries to both quarterbacks that played this Saturday crushed any momentum that was being built. So too did other injuries on both sides of the ball. 

The good news on this Saturday was that Maryland’s quarterbacks escaped this one without injury. Kasim Hill, who came on for injured Tyrell Pigrome, looked every part of the star people expected last season. 

He finished this game completing 17 of 29 passes for 222 yards and a touchdown. Meanwhile, Pigrome was 3 of 4 for 22 yards in his limited action. 

Maryland found a balanced run game too, with no one rushing for more than 31 of the 143 yards put up as a team. 

The Terps defense gave up plenty of yardage — 405 to be exact — but they also found ways to make positive contributions when it mattered most. There were the three turnovers created. There were the seven tackles for loss as well.

Maryland didn’t allow a 100-yard rusher either. 

All of those were positive developments for a defense that badly needed to prove it could contribute positively to the 2018 season. 

Kicker Joseph Petrino hit a pair of short field goals as well

Many are adding all of that up and spinning tails of Maryland’s rise. There’s no doubt that this win and the two over Texas in this series are important, but they aren’t the end all, be all that some writers are making it out to be. 

Then there is the factor that far too many of my fellow brethren in the sports writing world care about the AP Poll and Coaches Poll. Clearly Texas is not one of the 25 best teams in America and the Longhorns probably should never have been thought of that highly to begin with. 

So, what does it really mean? For me, this win is telling in that Maryland has become a program capable of playing with teams that are hanging around the fringes of quality. 

One could chalk last season up to a fluke or to Texas just getting used to Herman and his style. But this second win? It showed that Maryland isn’t afraid of the name brand in front of them — they can play with anyone on their best day. 

Ultimately, this win will be looked back on as a promising start and unless they do something with it, that’s all it will be. 

There are still 11 more games to help define the 2018 season.

How the Terps build from this start and work going forward will matter way more than what took place on the 1st of September. 

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Terps Football

Maryland Terrapins Football Preview: 5 Impact Players for 2018

Maryland has a lot of raw potential, but which players will have the biggest impact on success or failure in 2018?

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Who are the Maryland Terrapins under head coach D.J. Durkin? Are they the group who made a bowl appearance in his first season and were able to run over just about everyone…or are they the snake-bitten and injury-riddled crew that got pounded on in 2017?

It’s an important year for the Terps, and with back-to-back Top 30 recruiting classes, a lot is expected of this program going forward. Can promise turn in to production? That may depend on what happens with a few players.

Who are those players that will likely have the biggest impact on the 2018 Terps season? Let’s take a look at the names you should be paying attention to in 2018.

Jesse Aniebonam, DE

Aniebonam went in to last season hoping to build off a 2016 that saw him 46 tackles, 14 tackles for loss and 9 sacks. Instead, he played just part of the season opener with Texas and was never seen again on the year thanks to an ankle injury. Without him, the Terps managed just 16 sacks on the season in 2017, good for 13th in the Big Ten.

If Maryland wants to actually get back to a bowl game in year three of the Durkin era, it needs the defense to stop giving up 30-plus points per game. Aniebonam’s return should help despite the loss of two productive linebackers behind him.

Byron Cowart, DE

If you are sensing a theme, you would be right — Maryland has to get better on the edge against teams that have killed them there the past two seasons. Cowart was once a 5-star recruit (Rivals and ESPN’s No. 1 overall recruit in the country) and a gem for the Auburn Tigers. That was 2015, and Cowart hasn’t really been the force most people believed he would be. A transfer to Maryland seems to have rejuvenated his career and he looked like a potential star throughout much of spring ball.

Pair a potential talent like Cowart with a ready-made star like Aniebonam and the Terps suddenly have one scary defensive line for opposition to deal with — something they haven’t really had in Durkin’s two years in College Park.

Kasim Hill, QB

As intriguing as Tyrrell Pigrome was in the opener last season against Texas, Hill is the better fit for new offensive coordinator Matt Canada’s philosophy. The freshman (because he will most likely get last season back) is a better mix of pass-first, run-second for Canada’s more pro-orientated philosophy.

Hill came in to the Texas game and calmly led the Terps to a massive road upset of the Longhorns in the middle of a chaotic game. We’ll see if Hill or Pigrome win the job in fall camp, but if you’re looking for a player to lead this team with the coaching staff that is now in place, Hill is the one I would look to as the better fit.

All I do know for sure is that this season has to be the one where at least one quality quarterback stays healthy…right?

Rayshad Lewis, WR

While there is a ton of potential on Maryland’s offense, it is going to be hard to make up for the loss of D.J. Moore to the NFL. Enter a veteran transfer in former Utah State wide receiver Rayshad Lewis, who came to the Terps following a breakout true freshman season with the Aggies. He had 40 catches for 476 yards with seven starts.

If he can handle the increased level of competition and size, Lewis could be exactly what the doctor ordered in helping to replace some of production lost by Moore’s departure. He won’t be the only one counted on, as Tavion Jacobs and Jahrvis Davenport are seniors, but only but Jacobs has proven himself. He’s  the only one returning to the team that had a touchdown reception (5 to be exact) in 2017 (to go along with 47 receptions).

Oh, and did we mention he is the son of future NFL Hall of Famer Ray Lewis? Ya, that should make him an intriguing figure to watch to say the least.

Tre Watson, ILB

It’s not often an impact player comes courtesy of another Big Ten program, but when the Terps lost two quality starting linebackers, Tre Watson (formerly of Illinois) became a big piece to solving the defensive woes in College Park.

Watson had over 100 tackles for the Illini in 2016 and picked up 65 tackles in nine games for Lovie Smith’s crew last season. He will have some help with rising junior Isiah Davis alongside him, but Watson has a chance to get out of a bad situation and become a star quick in the defense the Terps run.

There’s a lot of talk about talented underclassmen, but getting a true veteran leader like Watson could be a real quick difference maker for a defense in desperate need of exactly that.

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Terps Football

Maryland Terrapins Football Preview: Reasons to be optimistic in 2018

After a 4-8 season in 2017, why should you be optimistic about the 2018 Terps?

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When D.J. Durkin was hired in December of 2015 to lead this program, it was clear that there would need to be a cultural shift in the Maryland Terrapins program.

As 2018 approaches, we are also entering a pivotal season — season No. 3 — of the Durkin era.

Two seasons in and we’ve seen the potential and the need for continued roster building in big ways. Year one ended with a Bowl berth and three Big Ten wins. Year two ended with just two wins in conference and a 4-8 overall record.

It means this season will tell us which direction was real. So, given that 4-8 season in 2017, why should anyone be optimistic about the 2018 Terps season?

Let’s take a look at some of those reasons.

Durkin Has an Eye for Talent

For some schools, recruiting rankings really matter. For others, recruiting rankings don’t tell the full story. For Maryland, the truth lies somewhere in the middle and that’s not a bad thing.

In the first two complete recruiting cycles for head coach D.J. Durkin, the Terps have shown an ability to be a school that can compete for Top 25 positions. More importantly though, Durkin and his staff have shown that the hype can be backed up by play on the field.

While we only saw one full game and parts of two others from Kasim Hill, it was abundantly clear that the rankings and hype surrounding him was warranted. Same from Tyrrell Pigrorme, who was bombing Texas’ defense in Austin prior to a season-ending injury in the third quarter.

There’s also the fact that players who weren’t highly regarded when Durkin came in and are becoming stars. Seniors like Ty Johnson, Jesse Aniebonam and Darnell Savage weren’t that known coming in to their recruiting class, but have become very productive players.

With a two-deep that is full of seniors, it is clear that Durkin understands the talents he has and knows how to maximize what is in front of him. Three years of work behind the scenes could well pay off for those seniors.

Defensive Line Talent

One of the most puzzling stories of the Durkin era has been the inability of the defense to become a quality unit. That could be on the way to changing in a big way in 2018, and it couldn’t come at a more opportune time.

We’re optimistic about the defense this season for one reason — the defensive line. Durkin has made it a great priority to get bigger, faster and meaner up front in his first three recruiting classes. This season he has three really talented players in the front four.

Adam McClean will take his freshman experience and be a good player up the middle, while 2016 star Jesse Aniebonam is back after missing almost the entire 2017 season and they add in 2015’s No. 1 overall recruit (according to ESPN) as a transfer — Byron Cowart.

Having three players that opposing teams need to pay attention to, not just keying on one is going to be huge. It also should be a huge help to an intriguing linebacker group that includes productive Illinois transfer Tre Watson and hybrid nickleback Antoine Brooks.

Running Game Depth

When the Terps were at their best in 2016, they were burning teams on the ground offensively. Look for a return to that formula in 2018 in part due to D.J. Moore’s graduation at wide receiver and in part because running back may be the deepest and most dangerous position on Maryland’s roster.

First, former 1,000-yard rusher Ty Johnson returns for his senior season after rushing for 875 yards last season despite teams keying on him after both quality quarterbacks went down. Then there’s a bit of thunder with Lorenzo Harrison in the mix, as he rushed for 622 yards and averaged 4.5 yards per carry last season.

Now, add in one of the top 2017 recruits, Anthony McFarland, and you have a three-headed monster that East division teams are going to have to worry about. Both Johnson and McFarland are capable of busting the big run, but do so in different ways. Johnson is more of the every-down type of back, while McFarland is an absolute speed nightmare for opposing defenses.

That three-headed monster is one way for the Terps to keep pressure on opposing defenses.

With Matt Canada at offensive coordinator, a good run game is Maryland’s best friend. The odds of it happening seem really good on paper.

Overall Reason to be Optimistic

As we described above, the formula to win more than you lose in the Big Ten seems to be in place for the Terps on paper. You know, play strong defense up front and be able to run the ball on offense.

If the talent can equal production on both fronts, Maryland may be in business in a way that will surprise some. You have to love the combination of skill sets at running back and you have to love the fact that Durkin hasn’t been afraid to go after talent on the defensive line.

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Terps Football

Maryland Terrapins Football Preview: Lessons from 2017

D.J. Durkin’s second season in College Park gave us plenty to know about what 2018 could look like.

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As the old saying goes — you can’t look forward if you don’t know where you’ve been.

So, as we turn the corner to the 2018 Maryland football season, it is important that we start with a look back at the lessons that last season taught us all. A promising start with a win over Texas eventually gave way to the Terps missing out on the postseason once again, and there were plenty of harsh lessons learned along the way.

Let’s explore what we know were the lessons that were learned from a tough 2017 season in College Park, Md., shall we?

Maryland Goes as its Quarterback goes

One can’t help but wonder what could’ve been in year 2 of the D.J. Durkin era thanks to a series of freak injuries at quarterback. First it was opening-game starter Tyrrell Pigrome going down in the second half of the opener against Texas. He left the game due to injury when the Terps were up just 37-34 and gave the reigns to highly touted freshman Kasim Hill.

Hill led the Terps through the rest of a wild matchup with the Longhorns, only to see himself go down for the season just three weeks in to the year with a torn ACL of his own. That meant a square peg in to a round hole for Walt Bell’s offense as big-bodied Max Bortenschlager took over at QB for the rest of the season.

It wasn’t good news, as the powerful Terps offense that showed up with Pigrome and Hill at the lead ground to a halt. Bortenschlager completed 51.9 percent of his passes for just 1,313 yards and 10 touchdowns to 5 interceptions. All of that coming in 11 games played.

After scoring 51 and 61 points in the first two weeks, Maryland only managed to top the 30-point mark two more times all year without Pigrome and Hill at quarterback. Now with Bell gone to Florida State and Matt Canada stepping in as offensive coordinator, the hope is that Pigrome and Hill are healthy enough to lead the offensive resurgence that Durkin thought he would have seen last year.

The lesson learned was simple — without a playmaker at quarterback, Maryland is in deep trouble. That lesson could hold the same in 2018 if Pigrome or Hill aren’t healthy.

Durkin’s D Still Needs Work

If there’s a bigger lesson than having two dynamic quarterbacks go down in the beginning of the season hurts a program, it’s that not playing stout defense will kill you in the Big Ten. Maryland found that out for the second-straight season under Durkin, as the Terps got rolled over by just about every big-named opponent on its schedule.

It all led to a defense that ranked last in scoring in the Big Ten, giving up 37.1 points per game and 190 yards on the ground too. Those aren’t exactly good numbers for a defensive orientated head coach, but they are the reality of the first three seasons of Durkin’s era.

One could argue that a lackluster offense after Pigrome and Hill went down didn’t help, and they would be right. But, that wasn’t the difference between 37.1 points per game and 27.1 points per game on the defensive side of the ball.

Maryland has tried hard to recruit better on defense, and those players are likely to see big roles early in their careers. Can big names like defensive lineman Adam McLean and cornerback Deon Jones finally show out in 2018? McLean saw some action last season and looked like a potential star, while Jones redshirted. If he can live up to billing, that could help a passing defense that hasn’t ranked higher than 9th in the Big Ten in the two years Durkin has been at the helm of the program.

Point blank, this rebuild on defense has been puzzling at best. Durkin has had some quality to work with, but maybe not enough to fully execute what he would like. If 2017 taught us anything, it’s that this is a side of the ball that will continue to take lumps until it gets experience to match its recruiting potential.

Terps Are Getting Closer Thanks to Recruiting

It may have taken a bit longer than some in the Terps faithful have hoped, but at least there were signs of hope last season. Going in to Austin and beating Texas was no small feat. Neither was winning a heated recruiting battle for Kasim Hill and having him prove he could be the future leader of the program in less than two full games played.

Durkin wasn’t hired to make an immediate winner out of the Terps, he was hired to make them in to a long-term winner and that project required getting his guys in to the program and on to the field as fast as possible. However, the cupboard wasn’t totally bare when Durkin took over and now we are likely to see the fruits of the recruiting tree be picked.

Looking at the recruiting trail, you can see a glimmer of hope coming. Maryland’s last two classes have ranked No. 17 in 2017 and No. 28 in 2018 respectively. Those classes have included names like Kasim Hill, Adam McLean, Bryce Brand and Javon Leake who made impacts just last season alone. Experience for that class should bode well going forward.

As long as Durkin’s eye for talent is as good as it was with Hill, Maryland may be a contender in the East division quicker than some will believe. It’s a lesson that may have been forgotten from last year, but Durkin’s young players showed a lot of promise despite some difficult moments against a brutal schedule.

What it All Means

Durkin’s program feels like it is at a crossroads heading in to this season. We’ve seen glimpses of offensive powerhouse in year’s one and two, but with offensive genius Walt Bell off to Florida State it will be up to journeyman offensive coordinator Matt Canada to keep things going smoothly. Having Chris Beatty elevated to co-offensive coordinator should be a big help as well.

But, more than anything, the 2017 season continued to show that there is a long way to go for the Terps as a program. The depth is getting better, but there isn’t a position in which they are more than two-deep. That sometimes is the biggest difference between wins and losses in the Big Ten. The likes of Michigan State, Ohio State and Wisconsin can often plug-in a second or third option at a lot of positions and be perfectly fine.

Time will tell if Durkin can get the Terps to be more competitive against the best the Big Ten has to offer, but at least the effort has begun to get better and the talent is falling in to place for hopes to rise.

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